Lenny Conundrum - #108

Chakra_ · **Posted:** Sun Mar 13, 2005 4:58 pm

Actually, after reading all ur posts i get more confused at what answer to type although i submitted one. Just relax guys.

Submit a random number and pray you win. There is always a next time... Haha

Rognik · **Posted:** Sun Mar 13, 2005 9:27 pm

Qanda wrote:

AFI_Sorrow wrote:

Hmm, I think everyone had a 50% chance of winning. They either do, or they don't. Heh heh.
When do Lenny Conundrums usually end? A week later? I'm a bit new to the confusing world of LC's.

Following your reasoning the world has a 50% chance of ending the next minute too. It either does, or it doesn't.

While I didn't think about this before, you're actually looking at the probability all wrong. You're saying the probability of winning is either 0 or 1, ie. either you do (1) or you don't (0). It's not a fifty-fifty chance. Let's say I roll a (six-sided) die. Before I roll, there is a 1 in 6 chance that I will roll a 5 (or any other number); the probability of a 5 is 1/6 or 16.67%. After I roll it, though, the probability that it is a five is either 100%, yes, or 0%, no.

Chance of winning the Lenny Conundrum this week? Somewhere in the range of .00005%.

Cranberry · **Posted:** Mon Mar 14, 2005 3:24 am

There's a 50% chance you'll roll a 5. You either will or you won't.

(AFI_Sorrow was joking. As am I.)

dargonz · **Posted:** Mon Mar 14, 2005 3:39 am

There is probably a trick into this...

WIS · **Posted:** Mon Mar 14, 2005 7:30 am

Wouldn't it be hilarious if TNT posted in the news after saying they cannot reward the prizes as they have confused themselves?

Qanda · **Posted:** Mon Mar 14, 2005 8:25 am

watericesage wrote:

Wouldn't it be hilarious if TNT posted in the news after saying they cannot reward the prizes as they have confused themselves?

Worse still, they would post that due to a flaw in the question, they would count everyone as correct. The prize np would probably be 0.0001, rounded down to 0. :roll:

Rognik wrote:

While I didn't think about this before, you're actually looking at the probability all wrong. You're saying the probability of winning is either 0 or 1, ie. either you do (1) or you don't (0). It's not a fifty-fifty chance. Let's say I roll a (six-sided) die. Before I roll, there is a 1 in 6 chance that I will roll a 5 (or any other number); the probability of a 5 is 1/6 or 16.67%. After I roll it, though, the probability that it is a five is either 100%, yes, or 0%, no.

Yes Rognik, but I was just jokingly following AFI's flawed reasoning.

AFI_Sorrow · **Posted:** Tue Mar 15, 2005 12:44 am

Cranberry wrote:

There's a 50% chance you'll roll a 5. You either will or you won't.

(AFI_Sorrow was joking. As am I.)

Heh heh, yeah I was joking. But sometimes I do go with the 50/50 thing in "real life" situations. (Such as, will he accept me asking for a date or not?) Not for statistics like the Lenny Conundrum.

This one hurts my head, I can't wait for them just to release the answer and stop the maddness! Maybe they won't even answer the question and pretend it never happened. Just to make us fume...

Chakra_ · **Posted:** Tue Mar 15, 2005 9:38 am

watericesage wrote:

Wouldn't it be hilarious if TNT posted in the news after saying they cannot reward the prizes as they have confused themselves?

Haha! I agree. However, it would be very shameful dun u think? They came up and the question they should come up with the answer only to say they cannot solve it themself. It would really be a laugh.

Maybe they wull just award everyone a gold trophy and 100nps. HAHAHA

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Lenny Conundrum - #108

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