Pink Poogle Toy Forum

New day:

Bets:
(Goo, Fran) x (Fed, Luck; HH - Capn)

Not following system. Probably shouldn't bet at all, but I've got to leave on my holiday trip now and can't resist.

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Blue graffitied on my signature... But it made me laugh, so it's all good!

Well, PPT was down when I made my bets, but I covered Goo x Young so I ended up with a 26:10. Black cost me some seriously good returns, though! Ah, well, can't frown at a 26:10! I mean, you could, but it'd be silly to, with the way this month has been going!

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Set by KiTeNcHeTu!
Find me at WGF, where werewolf rocks!

4:10. Should have skipped, or at least not spread myself too thin. Betting before the odds shift is always a crap shoot.

New bets:
Goo x (all in Lagoon; HH - Orvinn)
Luck x (HH - Orvinn)

Same as yesterday... probably shouldn't have bet. Hoping it works out better today, though!

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Blue graffitied on my signature... But it made me laugh, so it's all good!

Meh. Today looks terrible. Would recommend skipping. Definitely not a "safe" set....I'm figuring there'll be an upset. In fact, I'm hoping there's an upset. Preferably one that I covered.

(Stuff, Squire) x (Bonnie, Puff, Capn)
Luck x (Ed, Stripe, Tail; Bonnie)

Once again, meh.

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Set by KiTeNcHeTu!
Find me at WGF, where werewolf rocks!

22:10. Wish I'd had the guts to not cover any safeties (both yesterday and today), but at least I came out positive today.

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Blue graffitied on my signature... But it made me laugh, so it's all good!

Busted (as expected). Really didn't think Goo was going to make it, but Puff would've sunk me if I'd followed the system anyways. Tomorrow looks like it might be a little better. Guess we'll see...

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Set by KiTeNcHeTu!
Find me at WGF, where werewolf rocks!

P(18:10-84:10): 75%
EV: 2.04-2.53

Bets:
(Fed, Squire) x Goo
Fed x Goo x (all in TI; all in HH)

Today feels like a trap. Here's hoping it's not!

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Blue graffitied on my signature... But it made me laugh, so it's all good!

Spreading myself thin to cover upsets, in the hopes of catching something rather than nothing.

Fed x Goo x (All in HH)
Fed x (Bonnie, Peg, Luck)
(Squire, Orvinn, Capn) x Goo


ETA: Safety! 26:10 on Orvinn x Goo.

And with that, I'm finally net positive for the rest of the month, even if I lose every day. Finally.

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Set by KiTeNcHeTu!
Find me at WGF, where werewolf rocks!

Busted. December has not been very giving. *sigh* Hopefully the pirates will be nice for Christmas.

New day, new bets:
P(16:10-72:10): 57%
EV: 2.38-3.06

Bets:
Scurvy x Young x Goo x (Fed, Black) x Luck
Scurvy x (Ned, Young, Stripe; Fed) x Goo x Luck
Scurvy x Young x (Buck, Fran) x Luck
Scurvy x Young x Goo x (Ed, Bonnie)

Please don't be another trap, FC!

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Blue graffitied on my signature... But it made me laugh, so it's all good!

Didn't have time to think mine through. Barely had time to get them in.

Scurvy x (Young, Ned) x Goo x Fed x Luck
Scurvy x (Ned, Young, Stripe) x Goo x Luck
Scurvy x Young x Goo x Ed
Scurvy x Young x (Buck, Fran) x Luck
Scurvy x (Fran, Goo) x Fed x Luck

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Set by KiTeNcHeTu!
Find me at WGF, where werewolf rocks!

64:10 Woot!

P(12:10-32:10): 56% (with additional 34% chance of 6:10-8:10)
EV: 0.96-1.51

Bets:
(Buck, Tail) x (Goo, Scurvy, Ed)
Buck x Goo x (all in HH)

Merry Christmas, Happy Hannukah, and Happy Day of Giving! Let's hope the pirates are feeling generous...

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Blue graffitied on my signature... But it made me laugh, so it's all good!

64:10 yesterday, as well, yay!

Playing a little riskier than Siniri today.

Buck x (Goo, Scurvy) x (all in HH)
Buck x Ed
Tail x Goo

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Set by KiTeNcHeTu!
Find me at WGF, where werewolf rocks!

32:10. Not bad!

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Blue graffitied on my signature... But it made me laugh, so it's all good!

28:10
Not complaining. Still way better than nothing!


ETA: Mostly following exactly, with the exception of pulling up a Luck safety from further in the top 20. Hopefully it doesn't turn out to be Goo x Scurvy, or I'll bust.

Luck x Scurvy x Tail
Goo x Black x (Capn, Orvinn, Tail)
(Buck, Goo) x Young x Tail
Buck x Black x Tail
Buck x Scurvy x (Capn, Orvinn, Tail)

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Set by KiTeNcHeTu!
Find me at WGF, where werewolf rocks!

P(8:10-42:10): 75%
EV: 1.61-1.95

Bets:
Goo x (Black, Young, Scurvy) x Tail
Goo x Scurvy x (Capn, Orvinn)
(Buck, Luck) x Scurvy x Tail
Buck x (Capn, Orvinn, Tail)

Edit: Was betting on the fly, so I just followed my system, choosing the bets that had at least a 3% chance of winning. I knew there was a big chance of a double upset, but I just didn't have the time to tease out which I should place. The winning combo was really high on my list, but I skipped it. Ah, well. I think Pickles got it. Congrats!

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Blue graffitied on my signature... But it made me laugh, so it's all good!